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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+2.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+1.47vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.47+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.17+6.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.39vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.01vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-2.93vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.10-0.21vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.69-2.65vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.75-2.33vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30+0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.08-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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3.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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7.76Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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2.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.3%1st Place
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5.07Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.79Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.35Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.79Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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13.07Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 20.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 19.1% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 25.5% | 11.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 26.2% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Rory Mess | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 68.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 29.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.