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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+2.55vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+1.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+1.08vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.10+3.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.47vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+0.61vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.24vs Predicted
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9Colgate University1.69-1.69vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.17-1.00vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-0.23vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.08-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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3.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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3.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.3%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.85Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.61Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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7.31Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.91Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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12.77Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 19.9% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 20.1% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 25.1% | 22.5% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Rory Mess | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 4.9% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 14.2% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 58.6% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 30.6% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.