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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.23vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+4.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.21vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47+3.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25-2.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-0.56vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-2.62vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.10+0.01vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.17-2.03vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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7.5Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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8.18Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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3.89Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.01Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.08Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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12.82Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.3% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 17.1% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 28.8% | 20.0% |
| Connor Kasper | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 23.4% | 13.1% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.