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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.21vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+4.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25-0.13vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.10+4.09vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54-0.57vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+5.71vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.80vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-0.91vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.17+0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08-0.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-6.41vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.75-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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7.51Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.87Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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9.09Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.2SUNY Maritime College3.050.2%1st Place
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8.09Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.1Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 17.2% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 22.9% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 54.7% |
| Nick Valente | 15.3% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Connor Kasper | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 15.1% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 28.1% | 20.8% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Rory Mess | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.