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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.01+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.72+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.36-2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-2.65vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.71-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.72California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.2% | 25.8% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 23.1% | 12.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 33.9% | 29.8% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.5% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 23.2% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.