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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.18vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+0.75vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49+4.00vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+0.83vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.47+2.13vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69+0.18vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-4.20vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.10-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.05+1.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.34vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.75-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.08-1.55vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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3.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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3.75Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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8.0Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.83Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.13Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.18Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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8.96Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rochester0.050.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 14.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.1% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 18.7% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 18.5% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Henry Scharfe | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 16.9% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rory Mess | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 27.2% | 18.8% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.