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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.19vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+5.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+0.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75+4.97vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.35+0.02vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69+0.36vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.62-2.09vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.05-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.08-1.48vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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7.97Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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3.77Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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9.97University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.36Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.91Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.15Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rochester0.050.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 18.9% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 16.5% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.4% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scharfe | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 16.5% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 27.8% | 19.9% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.