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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+5.65vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+1.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.27vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25-0.18vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.66vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+1.72vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+0.92vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75+0.91vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.82vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.62-3.16vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08-0.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.05-1.71vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.2%1st Place
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3.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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3.82Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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4.34SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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7.72Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.92Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.89Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.18Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.84Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Rochester0.050.0%1st Place
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12.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Neuman | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 24.9% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 28.4% | 19.8% |
| Henry Scharfe | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 25.6% | 16.6% |
| Gareth Daunton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.