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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+3.28vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.67vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52-0.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto-0.85+6.04vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.00+1.17vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.28-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94-0.67vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-3.25vs Predicted
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10Colgate University-0.40+0.26vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02-1.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-3.11vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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2.36Fordham University3.520.4%1st Place
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.3%1st Place
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11.04University of Toronto-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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6.48Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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5.75Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.26Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.33Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.67Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 36.1% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 25.8% | 26.3% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aleks Vagnesr | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 21.8% | 37.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 19.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.