Race 4B

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Woloshyn 10.7% 14.0% 14.9% 18.4% 15.9% 10.5% 8.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Dante Iozzo 3.2% 3.7% 3.4% 6.1% 10.0% 10.1% 13.4% 16.2% 13.4% 10.4% 6.5% 3.1% 0.5%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 4.9% 6.9% 9.7% 12.5% 22.9% 35.7%
Patrick Tara 25.5% 23.9% 21.6% 15.0% 5.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Spencer Ragsdale 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.5% 5.5% 6.2% 9.9% 10.7% 14.4% 16.6% 13.7% 9.2% 4.0%
John Lawless 8.5% 10.7% 14.8% 16.3% 15.1% 12.4% 10.7% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 9.4% 12.7% 10.4% 14.7% 14.8% 8.4% 9.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Will Holz 35.5% 27.3% 18.5% 10.9% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 1.0% 0.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 4.5% 6.5% 9.6% 15.1% 17.2% 19.8% 14.7%
Adam DeVita 5.9% 6.7% 9.5% 10.1% 14.0% 15.4% 12.1% 11.7% 7.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Lindsay Burroughs 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 3.8% 6.2% 6.4% 10.2% 13.9% 17.2% 18.6% 17.6%
Matthew Sherar 3.2% 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 10.0% 14.2% 14.6% 12.7% 11.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Ian Taylor 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 6.9% 11.4% 17.4% 21.1% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.