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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.33vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.60vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.71+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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5.91California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 17.0% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 25.6% | 25.5% | 24.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 35.4% | 28.1% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 26.6% | 22.5% | 11.1% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 24.5% | 48.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 27.9% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.