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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.67vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.28+4.53vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.94+2.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-2.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-5.68vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.22+0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-1.36vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.40-0.83vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.46-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.85-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.53Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.71Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.3%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.32Fordham University3.520.4%1st Place
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9.9Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.17Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.48Rochester Institute of Technology-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Toronto-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lawless | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Tara | 26.3% | 25.0% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 35.5% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 17.1% |
| Richard Cremin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 22.1% |
| Aleks Vagnesr | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.