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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.00+6.15vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto-0.85+8.14vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+0.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.34vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.42vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-0.40+2.22vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.28-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.94-2.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-2.43vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.46-1.54vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.22-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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2.35Fordham University3.520.3%1st Place
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11.14University of Toronto-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.21Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.3%1st Place
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5.66Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.58SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.22Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.58Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.46Rochester Institute of Technology-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.04Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Iozzo | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 35.0% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aleks Vagnesr | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 37.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 27.5% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Richard Cremin | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 21.9% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.6% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.