Race 10B

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dante Iozzo 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 6.9% 11.0% 12.8% 15.0% 17.6% 12.6% 8.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Patrick Tara 21.9% 24.3% 22.2% 15.0% 8.6% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 6.8% 9.0% 11.0% 16.0% 26.7% 21.9%
Matthew Sherar 2.7% 3.4% 6.6% 8.7% 13.1% 16.3% 16.5% 13.1% 11.3% 5.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Richard Cremin 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 3.5% 3.5% 5.9% 7.8% 11.2% 14.8% 21.4% 17.0% 10.3%
Clark Uhl 22.1% 24.0% 20.8% 15.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 6.3% 5.4% 9.4% 11.0% 14.7% 17.6% 14.9% 12.4% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Spencer Ragsdale 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 4.3% 5.3% 7.7% 10.6% 14.2% 16.6% 16.4% 11.4% 6.5% 1.8%
Will Holz 31.7% 26.0% 18.6% 13.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lawless 8.6% 8.9% 12.4% 18.4% 17.9% 14.1% 10.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Lindsay Burroughs 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 3.5% 4.5% 8.3% 8.7% 11.7% 15.2% 18.3% 16.8% 10.1%
Henry Sanders 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 4.0% 6.0% 8.9% 10.9% 15.2% 17.8% 16.1% 10.9% 4.6%
Peter Fiala 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 4.8% 6.4% 10.6% 19.5% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.