Race 11B

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aleks Vagnesr 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 7.3% 9.0% 11.9% 16.6% 24.7% 21.1%
Will Holz 33.2% 26.0% 19.1% 12.1% 6.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Tara 22.1% 24.0% 21.8% 16.6% 9.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Sherar 2.5% 4.3% 6.7% 7.7% 12.8% 15.9% 17.0% 15.1% 8.9% 6.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Adam DeVita 4.4% 6.5% 10.1% 12.3% 15.5% 15.8% 15.1% 10.5% 6.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Sanders 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 5.7% 9.4% 11.9% 15.4% 16.2% 15.3% 11.3% 4.0%
Dante Iozzo 3.3% 2.8% 5.1% 6.7% 9.5% 13.8% 15.0% 15.7% 15.0% 7.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
John Lawless 8.2% 10.3% 10.9% 17.6% 17.7% 16.4% 11.3% 5.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Cremin 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 4.2% 6.0% 7.1% 9.8% 15.8% 19.1% 19.9% 11.5%
Clark Uhl 22.2% 22.0% 20.2% 15.9% 11.2% 6.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Burroughs 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 3.8% 4.0% 6.9% 9.1% 12.4% 16.9% 18.1% 15.2% 10.2%
Clark Spencer Ragsdale 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 3.5% 5.3% 8.3% 10.2% 14.0% 16.9% 16.0% 12.2% 6.6% 2.9%
Peter Fiala 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 7.0% 10.9% 20.1% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.