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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.53+1.12vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.47+1.32vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.81+0.68vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.46-0.71vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.11-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Queen's University0.530.4%1st Place
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3.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.68Princeton University-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.29Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.6Columbia University0.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Tanczak | 39.8% | 27.3% | 18.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| Heather Grosso | 11.6% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 24.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 38.8% |
| Veronica Lane | 13.9% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 25.5% | 23.6% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 24.8% | 25.9% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.