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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.72+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-1.09vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.71-0.10vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.9California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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2.54Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Bozina | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 11.5% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.7% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 35.2% | 28.0% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 30.7% | 33.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.0% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 13.1% | 4.7% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 23.9% | 48.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 29.4% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.