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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.11+1.72vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.81+1.78vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.53-0.79vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09-1.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.47-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Columbia University0.110.2%1st Place
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3.78Princeton University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.21Queen's University0.530.4%1st Place
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2.88Monmouth University-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Siegal | 23.2% | 23.9% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 12.7% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 24.3% | 39.8% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 36.8% | 26.8% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 4.7% |
| Brogan Savage | 19.6% | 23.9% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| Heather Grosso | 12.6% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.