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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.53+1.23vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.09+0.92vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.81+0.77vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.11-1.31vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.47-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Queen's University0.530.4%1st Place
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2.92Monmouth University-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.77Princeton University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.69Columbia University0.110.2%1st Place
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3.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Tanczak | 36.6% | 27.4% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 17.6% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 43.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 22.6% | 24.6% | 24.0% | 18.8% | 10.0% |
| Heather Grosso | 13.7% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 28.1% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.