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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.51+1.63vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.17-0.07vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.06vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-2.50+0.51vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.72-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Columbia University-0.510.2%1st Place
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1.93Queen's University0.170.4%1st Place
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3.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.51Princeton University-2.500.0%1st Place
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2.87Monmouth University-0.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Collins | 23.0% | 24.5% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 5.3% |
| Christina Black | 43.5% | 30.0% | 17.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 14.4% | 18.8% | 24.4% | 31.1% | 11.3% |
| Margaret O'Rourke | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 73.5% |
| Amanda Nuse | 16.6% | 22.5% | 26.4% | 26.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.