← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University-0.72+1.89vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University-0.51+0.62vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.06vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University0.17-2.07vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-2.50-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Monmouth University-0.720.2%1st Place
-
2.62Columbia University-0.510.2%1st Place
-
3.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.1%1st Place
-
1.93Queen's University0.170.4%1st Place
-
4.5Princeton University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nuse | 17.8% | 20.7% | 27.3% | 23.4% | 10.8% |
| Haley Collins | 20.1% | 28.1% | 26.0% | 21.0% | 4.8% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 15.0% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 35.0% | 9.8% |
| Christina Black | 44.9% | 28.2% | 18.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Margaret O'Rourke | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.