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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+3.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+2.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+5.07vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+3.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+0.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20-0.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-1.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+0.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-1.91vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-4.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.91-0.62vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53+0.26vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.64Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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13.26University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 16.5% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 3.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Bombardier | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 36.7% | 16.5% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 12.3% | 74.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.