Race 2A

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Erin Mullins 9.5% 13.3% 10.4% 10.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.7% 7.4% 6.9% 4.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Sarah Williams 13.8% 11.3% 13.0% 11.6% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.3% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 16.3% 13.4% 14.8% 11.1% 10.7% 9.4% 7.7% 5.9% 5.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 7.6% 6.5% 7.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.6% 10.0% 9.7% 4.6% 1.0%
Janel DeCurtis 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 10.1% 13.6% 15.6% 13.5% 2.9%
Greta Farrell 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 5.7% 5.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 10.6% 11.4% 12.0% 10.8% 7.3% 1.5%
Isabella Loosbrock 14.0% 12.7% 13.3% 9.8% 10.6% 8.6% 8.3% 8.4% 6.8% 3.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Lindsay Doyle 6.6% 6.7% 8.5% 7.5% 7.6% 7.9% 9.7% 7.7% 10.2% 9.3% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6% 0.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.2% 9.9% 9.1% 8.2% 7.2% 6.1% 2.2% 0.2%
Emilia Clementi 3.6% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.4% 4.8% 6.7% 7.5% 9.1% 10.3% 13.4% 13.6% 11.2% 2.8%
Molly Pleskus 4.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.6% 8.2% 12.4% 11.2% 10.9% 6.5% 1.0%
Courtney Bombardier 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 4.4% 6.0% 10.0% 15.1% 35.1% 15.2%
Lindsey Baab 12.3% 12.9% 10.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.3% 8.0% 9.1% 6.3% 4.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Morgan Tanski 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.7% 13.4% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.