Race 3A

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Erin Mullins 10.4% 11.6% 12.1% 8.8% 10.9% 11.1% 8.5% 6.6% 7.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Sarah Williams 13.9% 13.0% 12.2% 9.7% 11.5% 9.0% 9.0% 8.8% 4.5% 4.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 6.5% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 8.0% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 5.9% 3.6% 0.2%
Hannah Polster 14.2% 16.7% 12.4% 11.3% 11.3% 9.3% 7.2% 6.8% 5.2% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 10.0% 9.6% 11.2% 10.1% 5.5% 0.9%
Isabella Loosbrock 12.3% 10.3% 12.1% 13.9% 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 7.9% 6.5% 6.0% 2.2% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 8.4% 10.2% 11.3% 11.2% 6.1% 1.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.6% 5.6% 6.8% 6.9% 9.4% 9.9% 9.6% 9.5% 11.0% 8.1% 1.2%
Janel DeCurtis 4.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 3.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.9% 11.5% 14.7% 15.4% 11.8% 3.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.5% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 9.0% 10.3% 9.2% 8.4% 10.2% 8.7% 7.9% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Emilia Clementi 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 9.8% 10.1% 12.5% 14.0% 11.7% 2.2%
Lindsey Baab 11.9% 11.1% 12.0% 12.5% 10.0% 10.1% 9.0% 7.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 4.1% 10.2% 77.1%
Courtney Bombardier 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 7.1% 8.9% 12.2% 38.4% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.