← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.06+4.48vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+2.35vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.21+2.05vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.34+3.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.58+2.07vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.20-0.71vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.67-0.59vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.98+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.86vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.23-1.89vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.20-5.79vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.86-2.95vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.91-1.76vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-0.53-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.48Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.35Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
-
5.05Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.68Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.07University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.41Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.59Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
8.11Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
5.21Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.05Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
-
13.31University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 2.8% |
| Courtney Bombardier | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 35.3% | 15.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 12.1% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.