Race 5A

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elise Gehling 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 8.5% 9.6% 10.1% 10.8% 8.9% 5.0% 0.6%
Erin Mullins 11.8% 11.3% 11.6% 10.9% 8.3% 9.5% 11.0% 8.6% 5.7% 5.0% 3.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Hannah Polster 16.4% 15.5% 13.3% 10.4% 10.6% 9.5% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Lindsey Baab 11.6% 13.3% 11.0% 11.1% 9.8% 10.8% 8.0% 8.8% 6.1% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Isabella Loosbrock 10.2% 11.9% 13.2% 11.0% 10.7% 8.8% 8.5% 9.4% 6.6% 3.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.8% 9.8% 12.9% 13.8% 13.4% 1.8%
Janel DeCurtis 2.9% 3.7% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 4.4% 5.6% 7.6% 8.0% 10.6% 12.6% 15.3% 12.3% 1.9%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.2% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 9.9% 8.5% 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 8.5% 7.9% 6.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Sarah Williams 12.3% 11.8% 10.7% 11.8% 11.4% 9.7% 9.2% 6.9% 5.8% 5.8% 2.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 4.3% 3.8% 4.6% 5.6% 7.4% 6.8% 8.6% 6.8% 10.2% 10.9% 12.3% 10.9% 6.9% 0.9%
Lindsay Doyle 7.4% 5.5% 6.8% 7.3% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 9.5% 7.8% 6.5% 4.2% 0.4%
Morgan Tanski 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 10.7% 77.4%
Courtney Bombardier 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.7% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 5.7% 8.6% 14.7% 36.6% 15.1%
Greta Farrell 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 9.0% 10.0% 11.3% 11.5% 11.6% 6.2% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.