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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+7.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+2.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+1.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.53+6.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91+2.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-1.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.83vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-4.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-7.92vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.39Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.22University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.52Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.08Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 16.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 12.1% | 73.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bombardier | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 35.0% | 17.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 1.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.