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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+4.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+2.93vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+4.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.17vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-0.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58-0.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-2.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-1.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.91-0.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.53-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.64Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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4.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.51Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.29University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.9% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 3.2% |
| Courtney Bombardier | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 34.5% | 15.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 13.6% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.