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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+5.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+2.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+2.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+2.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20-1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.91+2.94vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-3.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.22vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53+0.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.36-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.05Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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4.68Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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4.85Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 18.8% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 14.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Bombardier | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 33.3% | 14.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 73.6% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.