Race 1B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lydia Grasberger 11.3% 10.4% 12.1% 9.3% 10.5% 10.5% 9.0% 10.0% 6.4% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Mary Paz 7.6% 6.4% 9.8% 7.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% 9.3% 8.2% 2.8% 0.4%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.2% 11.8% 12.6% 11.6% 10.9% 9.0% 10.9% 7.7% 6.8% 5.1% 2.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Shakin 7.9% 5.8% 6.1% 8.8% 9.3% 8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 11.3% 10.0% 9.4% 3.6% 0.4%
Emma White 13.1% 15.0% 11.6% 8.9% 10.6% 8.9% 10.9% 8.4% 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 8.1% 9.3% 6.8% 11.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 7.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Caroline Downey 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.8% 7.9% 7.4% 9.2% 9.9% 15.2% 13.4% 6.9% 1.0%
Annie Hughes 9.7% 9.7% 9.4% 11.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 10.7% 6.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 5.7% 9.5% 12.1% 19.6% 25.7% 3.7%
Claire Huebner 7.7% 6.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.6% 10.3% 6.9% 8.8% 11.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.4% 0.2%
Sophie Hibben 14.6% 14.1% 12.7% 10.8% 11.9% 10.0% 7.6% 6.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Sophie Podlich 1.0% 2.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 7.6% 16.1% 42.6% 9.6%
Nicole Plona 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 3.5% 7.8% 83.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.