Race 2B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Downey 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 9.8% 11.2% 12.1% 14.2% 8.6% 0.6%
Emma White 12.8% 12.1% 11.6% 12.2% 10.7% 10.7% 9.4% 6.1% 6.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Lydia Grasberger 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.2% 8.9% 10.4% 10.7% 8.7% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Claire Huebner 6.8% 8.1% 7.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 10.3% 10.5% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 2.5% 0.3%
Mary Paz 8.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 10.1% 12.0% 8.6% 7.4% 3.4% 0.4%
Sophie Hibben 13.8% 14.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.5% 9.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 8.6% 6.6% 8.2% 6.9% 8.2% 7.8% 9.1% 10.1% 10.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.4% 0.6%
Haley Kachmar 2.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 6.5% 8.7% 11.2% 22.0% 24.6% 2.8%
MaryClaire Kiernan 12.4% 10.8% 11.6% 9.7% 11.8% 10.1% 9.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Annie Hughes 11.0% 9.6% 9.9% 9.9% 10.5% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 7.3% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 8.4% 9.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Sophie Podlich 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 7.9% 16.0% 41.4% 10.6%
Nicole Plona 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 8.8% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.