Race 3B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelsey Shakin 7.1% 6.6% 7.7% 9.9% 7.4% 7.0% 9.4% 11.5% 11.7% 9.8% 6.7% 4.6% 0.6%
Mary Paz 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 7.0% 9.2% 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 8.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Lydia Grasberger 10.6% 11.0% 11.4% 10.4% 11.1% 10.1% 8.6% 9.3% 7.2% 5.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Emma White 13.6% 12.8% 12.0% 10.4% 11.0% 10.3% 8.0% 7.8% 6.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
MaryClaire Kiernan 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 9.6% 9.5% 11.1% 7.2% 5.1% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Annie Hughes 9.8% 11.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.4% 10.4% 8.8% 9.6% 6.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 14.6% 12.7% 12.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.4% 7.1% 6.9% 7.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 6.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 10.9% 10.9% 6.8% 3.2% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 2.5% 3.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 5.5% 5.6% 7.2% 11.6% 20.3% 26.2% 4.3%
Caroline Downey 5.6% 4.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 7.2% 9.1% 8.9% 9.8% 12.7% 13.0% 9.5% 0.9%
Sophie Podlich 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.1% 8.0% 19.1% 35.6% 10.6%
Nicole Plona 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 3.7% 8.7% 82.7%
Sarah De Silva 7.0% 8.3% 7.7% 8.7% 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 9.9% 10.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.