Race 5B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Mullins 35.7% 26.8% 17.3% 10.1% 7.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Kelleher 26.3% 26.3% 20.3% 14.5% 8.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Millham 6.2% 7.5% 11.8% 12.3% 17.2% 18.2% 15.6% 8.8% 2.3% 0.1%
Thomas Presti 3.6% 6.8% 10.3% 14.2% 17.6% 17.3% 14.7% 11.8% 3.1% 0.6%
Jeff Goodrich 17.3% 20.2% 21.5% 19.8% 11.3% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucas Campbell 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 8.8% 12.2% 17.8% 18.5% 17.2% 9.2% 0.6%
Kevin Walsh 3.5% 4.7% 6.6% 12.3% 14.4% 17.7% 18.8% 14.8% 6.5% 0.7%
Gabrielle Heine 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 6.6% 10.7% 16.2% 45.7% 9.6%
Tom McKenzie 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.8% 11.5% 15.1% 26.2% 24.7% 3.9%
Noah Aschen 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.8% 3.3% 8.2% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.