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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.19+7.30vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+7.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-0.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-0.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.01+1.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15-0.68vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-4.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.01+0.50vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.48+0.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-4.48vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.05-2.70vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.20vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.54-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Yale University1.195.6%1st Place
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6.42Bowdoin College1.849.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University1.699.7%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College1.719.7%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University2.1713.1%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University1.9710.3%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University1.154.8%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.5%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University0.011.9%1st Place
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13.84Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.9%1st Place
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13.3University of Vermont-0.051.4%1st Place
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13.8Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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16.31Williams College-1.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ella Demand | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 9.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 12.8% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.