Race 4B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MaryClaire Kiernan 11.7% 11.4% 12.5% 10.6% 10.6% 11.1% 9.2% 6.9% 7.5% 4.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Annie Hughes 9.6% 9.7% 11.1% 8.0% 11.1% 10.3% 9.7% 7.6% 9.6% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Lydia Grasberger 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 10.0% 11.5% 9.9% 9.3% 8.9% 7.4% 5.9% 3.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Caroline Downey 3.9% 5.5% 5.0% 7.6% 6.7% 7.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.0% 13.9% 13.4% 8.5% 0.9%
Mary Paz 8.3% 8.3% 7.9% 9.8% 8.3% 6.3% 10.7% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 7.5% 2.8% 0.3%
Emma White 13.3% 13.7% 12.0% 12.3% 9.6% 9.9% 8.3% 7.0% 6.3% 4.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 8.1% 8.4% 8.8% 7.0% 7.1% 9.4% 9.2% 10.4% 9.5% 12.2% 6.2% 3.6% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 13.1% 14.6% 11.5% 10.6% 11.5% 10.9% 10.0% 6.2% 4.4% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 7.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.6% 7.2% 10.3% 11.3% 10.3% 8.6% 10.9% 3.5% 0.7%
Sarah De Silva 9.7% 6.9% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 9.4% 7.7% 10.4% 9.9% 8.4% 6.2% 3.5% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 4.8% 4.3% 5.3% 4.0% 7.4% 8.3% 12.3% 21.5% 21.8% 3.5%
Sophie Podlich 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 2.7% 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 7.6% 14.5% 44.2% 10.1%
Nicole Plona 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 3.7% 7.6% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.