Race 5B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MaryClaire Kiernan 11.7% 12.7% 10.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 6.3% 7.9% 8.3% 7.0% 10.4% 8.1% 9.7% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7% 8.4% 3.4% 0.5%
Lydia Grasberger 10.5% 11.1% 11.6% 11.4% 9.0% 11.2% 8.6% 8.2% 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Emma White 13.1% 12.3% 12.7% 11.6% 10.4% 10.7% 8.7% 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Caroline Downey 5.7% 4.4% 6.3% 6.8% 7.4% 6.9% 7.3% 9.8% 11.0% 11.5% 13.8% 8.1% 1.0%
Mary Paz 8.0% 7.7% 9.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 6.9% 4.3% 0.2%
Sophie Podlich 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 5.4% 6.4% 15.4% 42.9% 8.4%
Sarah De Silva 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 7.8% 9.5% 8.6% 10.7% 9.9% 10.0% 9.1% 6.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Kelsey Shakin 7.7% 7.0% 6.2% 8.2% 7.1% 9.2% 9.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.4% 8.2% 5.1% 0.4%
Annie Hughes 11.3% 10.2% 9.7% 10.8% 9.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.4% 8.9% 6.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Haley Kachmar 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 4.4% 6.2% 8.7% 12.0% 22.5% 21.4% 3.7%
Sophie Hibben 13.2% 13.4% 11.6% 10.9% 11.3% 8.2% 9.3% 8.5% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Nicole Plona 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 7.2% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.