Race 6B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah De Silva 8.8% 7.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.4% 8.8% 10.2% 9.5% 9.4% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 0.3%
Emma White 11.4% 14.1% 11.4% 12.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Mary Paz 6.6% 7.9% 8.3% 7.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 3.6% 0.4%
MaryClaire Kiernan 11.6% 12.1% 12.0% 10.2% 10.8% 9.8% 8.7% 9.0% 7.0% 5.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 8.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.8% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 10.1% 10.6% 9.0% 9.3% 4.6% 0.4%
Lydia Grasberger 11.1% 11.7% 12.6% 10.8% 8.3% 10.7% 8.4% 8.7% 7.4% 6.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Caroline Downey 6.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.1% 5.5% 7.4% 9.9% 11.3% 13.4% 12.8% 8.3% 1.0%
Haley Kachmar 2.6% 3.6% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 8.6% 11.6% 21.2% 25.7% 2.7%
Annie Hughes 10.6% 8.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.6% 8.2% 8.2% 7.3% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Claire Huebner 8.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 8.0% 4.4% 0.2%
Sophie Podlich 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 3.1% 5.7% 9.8% 16.4% 38.2% 9.4%
Sophie Hibben 13.4% 13.9% 11.4% 9.8% 11.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.0% 6.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicole Plona 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.9% 7.0% 85.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.