← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.02+3.83vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.91+3.13vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.36+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.41+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.84-0.75vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.99-2.14vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.44-1.62vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.02-1.36vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.33-0.76vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.52-5.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.84-1.64vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-1.06-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.83Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
5.13Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.69Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.5Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
-
5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.25Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
4.86Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.38Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.64Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
-
9.24Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
-
5.99Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.36University of Rhode Island0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.57University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 5.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Podlich | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 41.3% | 9.9% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 9.8% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.