Race 8B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Hughes 10.0% 9.8% 11.5% 9.4% 10.5% 8.4% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.4% 4.0% 2.1% 0.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.7% 12.2% 11.8% 12.2% 10.9% 10.1% 7.5% 8.1% 7.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Emma White 12.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.7% 11.1% 10.4% 9.6% 8.2% 5.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Caroline Downey 4.5% 4.9% 4.6% 7.7% 7.4% 6.6% 8.5% 8.3% 11.1% 13.4% 12.9% 8.9% 1.2%
Mary Paz 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 7.9% 9.7% 10.2% 9.9% 8.5% 8.9% 3.0% 0.2%
Claire Huebner 7.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.1% 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 10.0% 9.3% 9.8% 7.8% 3.6% 0.3%
Sarah De Silva 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 8.4% 7.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Kelsey Shakin 6.9% 8.3% 7.9% 6.5% 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 9.8% 10.8% 11.1% 8.0% 3.3% 0.2%
Lydia Grasberger 11.4% 11.1% 9.8% 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 9.8% 7.9% 6.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 15.3% 12.7% 13.0% 10.9% 10.4% 9.6% 7.0% 6.7% 7.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Sophie Podlich 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.6% 9.4% 17.8% 36.5% 10.0%
Nicole Plona 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 2.7% 9.5% 82.8%
Haley Kachmar 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 6.1% 8.1% 11.7% 20.1% 26.2% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.