Race 9B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MaryClaire Kiernan 12.9% 11.8% 11.4% 10.9% 10.6% 11.0% 9.8% 6.5% 6.9% 4.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.1% 9.6% 10.6% 8.4% 3.9% 0.5%
Sarah De Silva 8.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 5.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Sophie Hibben 13.7% 13.0% 14.8% 11.4% 9.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Caroline Downey 6.0% 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0% 9.9% 10.3% 12.8% 12.0% 7.8% 0.9%
Lydia Grasberger 11.9% 13.0% 12.3% 10.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 7.7% 6.5% 5.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Sydney Avitia-Jacques 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 6.2% 5.2% 8.5% 8.7% 10.3% 13.8% 13.8% 7.5% 1.6%
Emma White 14.2% 13.5% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 11.6% 9.2% 7.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Claire Huebner 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 8.7% 7.2% 11.1% 9.8% 11.1% 9.1% 9.0% 7.3% 3.7% 0.3%
Alexandra Maurillo 9.7% 7.9% 9.0% 8.8% 11.2% 7.7% 8.5% 10.1% 8.3% 8.1% 7.2% 3.4% 0.1%
Sophie Podlich 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 8.9% 14.9% 38.6% 9.9%
Nicole Plona 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 2.6% 9.3% 82.8%
Sarah Caso 2.6% 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5.4% 4.8% 6.4% 8.1% 9.7% 11.3% 18.1% 20.2% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.