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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+2.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+6.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.70+1.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+6.69vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.53-3.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.67-0.17vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32-2.69vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+0.73vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.75vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.03-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.88vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.48-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.26Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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12.69University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.34Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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7.83University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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10.73Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.25Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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9.69Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Lorimer | 21.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Henry Sharpe | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 18.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 54.5% |
| Mathew Renik | 22.2% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Huxley Conner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 12.2% |
| John Zupkus | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 6.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 18.4% |
| Emma Davis | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.