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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+4.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.70+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.67+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48-0.42vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+3.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-2.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.32-0.97vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+3.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.53-6.51vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.46vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.48-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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7.83University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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8.29Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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3.58Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.03Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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9.59Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.49Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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10.8Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.29Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Grace Shank | 19.3% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 54.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 20.3% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Huxley Conner | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 14.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 17.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Emma Davis | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.