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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+7.09vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+1.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+0.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.70+1.23vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.03+4.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-0.84vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.53-3.72vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.10vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.67-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.35vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.48-2.50vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.32-5.80vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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3.39Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.23Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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9.75Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.28Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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11.1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.93University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.5Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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6.2Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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10.63Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zupkus | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 20.1% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 20.2% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Paige | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 21.8% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| Amelia Connell | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Emma Davis | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Huxley Conner | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 11.6% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.