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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.67+6.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.32+4.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.70+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+7.63vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.03+3.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79-2.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-4.49vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.27vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.23vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.53-8.51vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.47vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.48-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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12.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.72Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.51Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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8.25Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.77Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.49Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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9.53University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.27Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Connell | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 18.4% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 54.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 22.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 19.4% |
| Huxley Conner | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 12.6% |
| Mathew Renik | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Emma Davis | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.