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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.16vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.16University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.51Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 34.3% | 29.6% | 19.9% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 17.3% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 5.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 27.6% | 24.7% | 25.6% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 58.7% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 30.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.