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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.32+5.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.70+3.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+0.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48-0.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.67+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+4.51vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.03+0.73vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-1.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.53-7.53vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.74vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.48-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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3.42Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.01University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.73Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.26Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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3.47Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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11.26University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.67Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.27Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Sharpe | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 21.8% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 19.0% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 54.9% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| John Zupkus | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Mathew Renik | 21.7% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 18.7% |
| Huxley Conner | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 13.1% |
| Emma Davis | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.