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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+3.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.67+4.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-0.50vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+3.25vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.03+3.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.53-3.67vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+4.50vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.21vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.32-5.75vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.48-4.65vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.70-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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3.5Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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8.25Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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9.77Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.33Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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12.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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10.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.25Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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8.35Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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5.19Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 21.1% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Reed Lorimer | 20.0% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Zupkus | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
| Mathew Renik | 21.3% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 53.4% |
| Huxley Conner | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 12.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 19.9% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Davis | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Henry Sharpe | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.