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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+7.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+1.35vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.03+6.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+1.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+3.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.70-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.67-0.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32-2.74vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.53-6.49vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.48-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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3.35Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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9.53Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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9.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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7.85University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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6.26Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.51Boston University2.530.2%1st Place
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10.75Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zupkus | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 22.8% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Shank | 18.0% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 5.3% |
| Henry Sharpe | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 19.3% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Huxley Conner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 11.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 54.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 19.5% |
| Emma Davis | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.