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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.63vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.71+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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5.82California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 35.7% | 26.0% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Eliza Richartz | 25.0% | 27.7% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 24.0% | 47.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.3% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 12.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 29.1% | 33.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 12.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.