Race 1A

saisa-sp

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophie Salomon 4.8% 7.6% 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 11.5% 11.9% 14.1% 9.8% 9.0% 5.9% 1.5%
Geoffrey Nelson 26.9% 23.7% 17.1% 13.8% 7.2% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 7.3% 6.1% 9.7% 7.6% 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 11.5% 7.5% 4.3% 1.5%
Jack Famiglietti 14.4% 20.8% 16.3% 13.3% 11.0% 9.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 2.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 7.1% 7.9% 7.6% 9.8% 12.5% 14.0% 17.9% 9.3%
Samuel Normington 19.3% 16.3% 17.4% 14.7% 12.7% 8.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Simon 8.1% 6.7% 9.1% 11.4% 11.7% 9.0% 12.7% 10.1% 8.6% 7.1% 4.2% 1.3%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 2.0% 1.6% 2.5% 4.1% 2.7% 5.8% 8.7% 13.1% 57.7%
Kameron Boike 3.1% 2.8% 3.3% 7.2% 6.9% 8.4% 11.3% 11.6% 12.2% 14.2% 13.4% 5.6%
Benjamin Tino 3.6% 3.5% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 10.1% 12.1% 10.9% 15.8% 13.2% 6.3%
Victoria Caba 2.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 4.9% 5.8% 5.4% 8.5% 12.9% 14.8% 22.9% 15.5%
Giancarlo Falconi 7.2% 6.2% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 11.4% 10.3% 11.0% 11.5% 7.5% 4.5% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.