Race 2A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dean Nixon 6.3% 6.2% 8.6% 9.1% 10.7% 12.4% 10.5% 12.6% 10.1% 8.0% 4.6% 0.9%
Jack Famiglietti 15.2% 17.8% 15.9% 14.5% 12.5% 8.7% 6.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Geoffrey Nelson 28.7% 21.6% 18.3% 12.6% 8.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 11.5% 13.4% 14.8% 6.5%
Samuel Normington 18.4% 19.3% 17.0% 13.3% 11.9% 8.1% 5.4% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 5.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 11.7% 11.6% 13.1% 10.8% 8.4% 5.7% 1.5%
Kameron Boike 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 12.7% 14.9% 12.9% 6.2%
Nelson Millett 3.0% 3.8% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 15.3% 16.9% 8.7%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 1.5% 3.5% 2.8% 5.8% 9.2% 15.9% 56.4%
Sara Simon 7.4% 7.0% 7.6% 11.6% 11.7% 11.0% 12.4% 9.4% 10.5% 6.5% 3.7% 1.2%
Victoria Caba 2.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 7.3% 7.8% 11.0% 14.9% 21.8% 17.1%
Giancarlo Falconi 6.0% 6.4% 8.5% 10.7% 8.7% 11.7% 11.6% 13.5% 10.7% 7.6% 3.2% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.